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Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Which teams will reach the IPL Semi Finals?

So which four teams will finally make it to the semi-finals of the IPL 2009? Delhi is the only very obvious name having already scored 18 points. With a 99.99% confidence one could also say that the Chennai Super Kings are in. Even if Chennai lose their last match to the King's XI Punjab, they will be at 15 points. Out of Bangalore, Deccan and Punjab only two teams can score 16 points. If Rajasthan defeat the Kolkata Knight Riders they will be tied with Chennai on 15 points but there is such a wide chasm in the Net Run Rate (NRR) of the two teams that it will require a super miracle for Rajasthan to overtake Chennai.

So two spots gone - Delhi and Chennai. What about the remaining two? I have created a case by case table. Click here to see the table. There are 12 possible scenarios as of now. Amongst these 12 scenarios, Punjab and Bangalore each feature 6 times. So both these teams have a 50% probability of reaching the IPL 2009 semi finals. Deccan Chargers feature 8 times, thanks to an advantage they have because of their net run rate. That means the Hyderabad team have a 67% probability of making it to the semi-finals. And no, don't count Shane Warne out as yet - Rajasthan feature 4 times which means they have a one in three chance of reaching the IPL semi-finals.


sandeep said...

u e great man

Anonymous said...

u re great!!

Sanath said...


This is to invite u to my new blog dedicated entirely to T20 cricket. The blog was started to last only for a month until the IPL get in. However, as time passed by, a reader suggested me to continue the blog for more longer by writing posts on all T20 issues viz the IPL,ICL,T20 WC etc. So, I request u ppl to go tro my blog & link towards the same incase u find the blog interesting.

n 1 more thing..the blog under the url http://cricket24x7.today.com will no more be edited by me.

Roshan said...

A lot of people have been saying that Australians make better captains. And this became more evident with Warne guiding the Rajasthan Royals to victory last year in the IPL. And now you have Gilchrist doing the trick for Deccan Chargers. But I don’t think it is got to do only with Australian as the skipper.

In Fact for my dream team that I have made on www.happyhourswithfriends.com I make it a point to select one of the Indians or Sri Lankans as a captain. It’s one of those sites where you can make your dream team and win prizes. I think Indians make better captains and can lead from the front. Dhoni being the best example. Who would you make as your team captain?